spconform - Conformal Prediction for Spatially and Spatio-Temporally Dependent Data
Provides distribution-free, model-agnostic prediction intervals for spatially and spatio-temporally dependent data using localized conformal calibration. Implements locally weighted split conformal prediction for geostatistical (point-referenced) data based on spatial-distance kernels, and a neighbourhood-weighted conformal procedure for areal (lattice) data based on graph adjacency structures. Relaxes the standard exchangeability assumption using spatial proximity, following the localized conformal framework of Mao, Martin and Reich (2024) <doi:10.1080/01621459.2022.2147531>. Includes comprehensive spatial diagnostic tools to audit empirical coverage, conditional spatial strata, and boundary proximity effects.
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area-dataconformal-predictiongeostatisticsgeostatistics-lessonsmachine-learningprediction-intervalsspatial-analysisspatial-statisticsspatio-temporaluncertainty-quantification
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